What is the best way to proceed?

You manage a product delivery organization. Your manager asks you to create a plan for the next fiscal year describing what will be delivered.

What is the best way to proceed? (choose the best answer)
A . Work with the Product Owner(s) to analyze current delivery capabilities against demand, then use that data to build a probabilistic forecast that serves to illustrate what might be achieved.
B . Use your knowledge to make the plan and later negotiate its implementation with the Scrum Team.
C . Work with specialists from each team to build an estimated backlog that you can translate into a Gantt chart.
D . Ask each Scrum Team to estimate the current backlog and make a plan against the story points previously delivered. Then normalize story points across teams to combine the estimates.

View Answer

Answer: A

Explanation:

In Agile, future planning should be based on empirical evidence, using past performance to inform what might be realistically achieved in the future. Probabilistic forecasting gives a more realistic view by accounting for variability in team performance and aligning with Agile’s iterative, adaptive approach. It avoids overcommitment and provides transparency, promoting better stakeholder communication​.