A UK based company is considering an investment of GB£1,000,000 in a project in the USA. It is anticipated that the following cash flows will arise from this project.
The cash flows will be either US$400,000 with a probability of 40% or US$700,000 with a probability of 60% for each of the next three years; remitted to the UK at the end of each year.
Currently GB£1.00 is worth US$1.30.
The expected inflation rates in the two countries over the next four years are 2% in the UK and 4% in the US.
Applying the Purchasing Power Parity Theory, which of the following represents the expected net present value of the project in GP£ (to the nearest whole pound)?
A. GB£287,639
B. GB£391,640
C. GB£(111,973)
D. GB£554,047
Answer: A
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